Tuesday, May 13, 2008

Updates.

BS has a story today on BCCL doing an IPO, not new news but here are a couple of things. First, last December I wrote about Bennett looking at a private-equity placement at an estimated valuation of $12 billion. Despite the markets crashing, it is unlikely that BCCL's valuation of itself has gone down, in fact the $15 billion number - in excess of Rs 60,000 crore has been mentioned, though Rs 50,000 crore is more plausible, even though that would be a earnings multiple of between 15-20x.
But, if Times has been looking so hard for a PE firm, why can't it find one?
The answer it seems is Papa Murdoch. SJ does not want Papa M to have any say in his company, even indirectly, now Indian PE firms have nowhere near the capital required to invest in BCCL, and many of the big boys of the PE world are close to Papa M (he is after all a client of so many of them). I mean, with Papa M looking longingly at the Indian Print market, SJ doesn't want to be funded by Papa's dosh.
Secondly, an IPO before the General Elections?
Very unlikely. While an IPO is on the cards by all indications, and not just because stock options will be handed out (with several million clauses in them) it is unlikely to happen with the UPA government still in power. If the BJP manages to pull off Karnataka, there will be absolute turmoil at the Centre.
By the way, with the gradual downfall of the honorary Doctor starting after his cars started tumbling all over the place and his cricket 'team', well didn't quite play ball - no knowing where the ball was. It is rather ironic that a man who claims to take a 'personal role' in everything he does (including selecting the girls for his calendar) claim not to have taken a 'personal' role in team selection? I mean you can take enough time to choose the girls (and even the air-hostesses) but in something that is possibly taking your reputation through mud, you let people play with $100 million. To sign a test team?

6 comments:

Anonymous said...

wonder why mallya spoke to those two morons. It was such a crappy story. The ET editors should invest in sending those blokes to Veta English classes

Anonymous said...

12 billion wow! The New York Times Company has seen its valuation slump to about $2 billion.

Anonymous said...

Well, Mallya must have been drunk, but the fact that ET broke the story. They killed it by carrying it on a Sunday. Do I suspect the comment is written by a grouchy ET colleague?
And HT Media's M-Cap is almost $800Million at last close (Rs 3300 crore), NDTV's a shocking $600million (Rs 2570 crore)... Maybe the NYT should list on the BSE...

Anonymous said...

NDTV's m-cap is really shocking coz it is still a loss making Co.

K said...

Here are some other crazy valuations, TV Today Networks Rs 640 crore ($150mln), IBN18 Rs 1600 crore ($380mln), Zee News Ltd Rs 1350 crore ($330mln) and here is the BIG DADDY - SunTV Rs 12980 crore - that is $3.1bln dollars.
Keep in mind the markets are nowhere near their peaks hit in early 2008 and teh dollar has gained against the rupee over the past few days.

Anonymous said...

K: sorry for responding late on this ... I don't get to read you everyday as I used to ...
possibly the reason the Doctor didn't take an interet in his "test" team is that the sex is all wrong!!

- Bonatellis